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All Reports Webcasts
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Webcast Replay
Quarterly Investment Outlook: The R Word Being Whispered

In this webcast, BCA Research Chief Strategists, Mathieu Savary, Robert Timper, Jeremie Peloso and Artem Sakhbiev discussed the following:

  • Oil: Temporary buffers are masking a looming oil deficit that could trigger a global recession.
  • Inflation: The shock is stagflationary, but weaker labor markets limit second-round inflation risks.
  • Policy: Central banks are likely to look through inflation short term, then pivot to growth concerns.
  • FX: Terms-of-trade dynamics favor USD and commodity exporters over energy importers.
  • Markets: Bonds offer asymmetric upside; equities and FX remain driven by energy exposure and policy repricing.
Watch Now
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Report
Gold As A Strategic Asset: Liquidity, Risk, And Institutional Practice
We have received several questions from clients regarding practical issues surrounding strategic positions on gold. We find that gold is liquid and relatively inexpensive to trade while being a reliable diversifier that provides enough excess returns to account for loss in yield....
Gold Asset Allocation
08 Apr 2026
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Report
Writing Geopolitical Puts: The Trump Doctrine
As we publish this regularly scheduled GeoMacro Alpha Report, President Trump is warning of civilization-ending strikes against Iran. A bluff? Stage Five on the Seven Steps of Maximum Pressure? A real threat to use weapons of mass destruction? The odds and pattern of Trump's behavior are skewed towa...
Iran Uranium
07 Apr 2026
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Report
Trump's Thin Support For War
Domestic politics suggest that President Trump needs to retreat from the war in Iran, but strategic factors suggest not. Stay defensive for now....
Iran War/Conflict
07 Apr 2026
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Report
In Search Of Inflation And Geopolitical Hedges
The Iran war provides a timely motivation for examining how the main financial asset classes and commodity sectors perform across different inflation regimes and during periods of elevated geopolitical risk....
Iran Inflation
07 Apr 2026
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Report
Is Breakeven Job Growth Really Zero?
US employment data show some tentative signs of job growth acceleration and stable utilization. We see breakeven monthly job growth as closer to +30k per month than zero....
US Economy
07 Apr 2026
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Report
Turkey: Buy Back Domestic Bonds?
The Turkish financial markets will struggle in the very near term, but beyond that, the cyclical disinflation process will resume. Fixed-income investors should put Turkish 2-year local currencybonds on a ‘buy’ watch list....
Turkey Emerging Markets
07 Apr 2026
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Report
US High-Quality Strategy: Outperformance Continues
The US High Quality (USHQ) portfolio continues to outperform its benchmark through March, returning -2.49%, while its SPY benchmark returned -3.34%. On a trailing three-month basis, the USHQ portfolio’s performance was stronger than the benchmark as well, with USHQ outperforming by approx. 208bps....
06 Apr 2026
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Report
Sector Chartpack: Investment-Led, Broadening Out
We expect the S&P 500 to deliver $308 of EPS in 2026, with a year-end target of 7700. Revenue growth drives upside, with little margin or multiple expansion. With economic growth tilted toward investment, we are overweight Technology, Industrials, and Materials, market-weight Financials, Energy, Hea...
Sectors Equities
06 Apr 2026
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Report
The Shortest Geopolitical Outlook For Q2, 2026
Our "miniature stagflation" episode is coming together on the back of the Iran shock, China slowdown, and American political division....
Iran US
03 Apr 2026